Friday 2 October 2009

The Asian Develop Bank’s Regional Cooperation and Integration Strategy: Merits and Issues. Part 3

As outlined last week, the ADB’s RCI strategy confronts two problems which the close country focus does not, specifically coordination problems arising from negotiating with multiple actors at once, and the free rider problem. Today I will address the second of those, the free rider problem. Here, the ADB has sought to resolve regional countries’ concerns about a free rider in two ways.

Firstly, in cases where the client countries’ are unable to reach a consensus on burden sharing, (what this means practically is that the countries’ pledges sum to less that 100% of the expected cost of a projects), the ADB has sought to “pay the difference” from its own pockets. Of course, the ADB is unable to simply provide compensatory cash payments to the “losers” of any project, and so Bank has been required to use a more round-about method for achieving the same. Specifically, the ADB has sought to lengthen the shadow of the future by “bundling” each individual regional project in with other such projects. This bundling allows the ADB to spread out the ‘losses’ over time. Of course, in any one project some country/s might “get” more than others, but with the ADB taking a longer term view and communicating its vision to the client-nations, these individual projects can go ahead with each country feeling that it is being treated fairly. But it is hardly optimal, despite the best of intensions, and may likely create its own set of problems.

Indeed, it is precisely because the ADB is not mandated and equipped to function like the European Commission’s Structural Funds mechanism that the ADB is having difficulty with effectively and efficiently evening out the costs and benefits of regionalism.[1] In the future this might be changed; having the ADB adopt such a role is indeed a logical extension of the RCI, but for the time being the ADB risks institutional overreach in its attempts to help the poor of Asia to help themselves.

The second way the ADB has sought to ameliorate the free rider problem is rather to get someone else to “pay the difference.”[2] Here, however, there are only two candidates; Japan and China. This is because neither the US or Europe are much interested in such schemes, indeed it seems that the US is unfriendly towards the regional cooperation agenda.[3] These two regional powers have both the necessary deep pockets and deep political interests in the region to allow taking on such a role, but of course there are very obvious risks.

The most obvious of these risks is that these Great powers will start to play games in southeast’s backyard. This is precisely what has happened with North-South corridor and the East-West corridor. The North-south corridor (funded by China) links Yunan Province to the Mekong. While the East-West corridor (funded by Japan) opens an better access to the same markets for Japanese goods arriving by sea (likely at the port of Da Neng in Vietnam).

More insidiously, China has become skilled in taping the regional allowances outlined earlier, usually in combination with its own PRC Special Fund, to direct the ADB towards financing regional projects that benefits China. One example involves a project aimed at “facilitating sustainable, environmental-friendly regional power trading in the greater Mekong subregion”, co-financed by the ADB and the PRC Special Fund. The purpose of this project for “developing the hydropower plants for exporting power to Yunan province or other potential hydropower sources for inclusion in the power trade” to the tune of 2mil.[4] Another example involves providing trade negotiation training via Regional Technical Assistance to countries with which the China is in the process of negotiating trade deals. Which ought to raise some eyebrows.

The ADB is risking its reputation by letting, or appearing to let, the big powers influence and direct the RCI. If the RCI is to be “done right”, and to win approval and acceptance which will see it live past the end of Kuroda term, the ADB will need to maintain scrupulous, and unquestioned, ethnical standards. As always it is a question of money however. If the ADB is to undertake such regionalist activities, then it ought to be given the resources to successfully do so.

[1] Giovanni Capannelli, "East Asian and European Economic Integration: A Comparative Analysis," in Working Paper Series on Regional Economic Integration (Manila: Asian Development Bank 2009).
[2] "Regional Cooperation and Intergration Strategy," (Asian Development Bank, 2006). See, Article 94. “Additional financial resources will also be required. Two types of financial resources are needed to implement the strategy effectively. First, with regard to the lending component of the strategy, for the immediate future, it is proposed to use existing OCR and ADF resources within available headroom and to catalyze additional public funding (particularly from larger economies).”
[3] The US is one of the few countries willing to be on record as opposing a proposal at the Board of Directors, for its own reasons the US has consistently voiced its opposition to regionalist approaches. The US opposed the creation of the Regional Cooperation and Integration Fund on the 22 March, 2007. However, US opposition can also look mean-spirited, such as the opposition in November 2005 to a Communicate-able Disease Control Project for the Mekong.
[4] "Indicative Rolling Regional Cooperation Operations Business Plan," (Manila: ADB, 2007). 8, 22

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